#PEOPLE · LinkedIn original
186,000 business handovers by 2030. 2 out of 3 will fail. Not because of succession — but because of what nobody documents.

186,000 business handovers by 2030.
2 out of 3 will fail. Not because of succession — but because of what nobody documents.
The figure comes from IfM Bonn (Daten & Fakten No. 37). It is presented as a demographic problem.
It is not a demographic problem.
It is an operating model problem.
→ Decision paths run through people, not roles.
→ KPIs are reported — but not used.
→ Governance is informal. The outgoing owner knows everything. The successor knows nothing.
What the outgoing owner leaves behind is not a company. It is a shadow operating system — running, but described nowhere.
LBBW identifies succession as the top risk factor for medium-sized businesses in 2026. In family businesses, 2 out of 3 transformations fail.
It is not the company that gets handed over.
It is its structure.
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